MICHAEL POWER
Introduction
ERM and the Risk-Based Concept of Corporate Control
ERM and the Control-Based Concept of Risk Management
ERM as World Culture?
ERM and the Moral Economy of Financial Organizations
Conclusions: ERM and the Organization of Uncertainty
Introduction
Since
the mid-1990s, enterprise risk management (ERM) has emerged as a set of ideas
for rethinking the organization of risk management activities. There has been a
conspicuous growth of normative and technical texts on the subject of ERM (e.g.
Barton, Shenkir, and Walker 2001; Walker, Shenkir, and Barton 2002; Lam 2003),
which is also characterized by related motifs of ‘holistic’, ‘integrated’
(AIRMIC 1999; Doherty 2000), and ‘strategic’ risk management. The discourse of
ERM, although still aspirational, is gaining ground in leading financial
organizations. ERM is the subject of multiple projects of codification and
standardization, and is becoming constitutive of regulatory principles and
practice.
Why has
this happened? In this chapter, I argue that the rise of ERM can be traced to
two convergent but different pressures for change in the concept of corporate
control. First, ERM is a further mutation of the ‘shareholder value’ conception
of the firm (Zorn et al., Chapter 13, this volume), one which involves an
increasing technical and institutional focus on the risk measurement dimension
of the risk-return relation underlying shareholder value. Value at risk (VAR)
measurement technologies are at the very center of a project to know and
calculate risk-based ‘economic capital’. This strand of ERM posits a risk-based conception of
the firm,
which is most conspicuous for financial organizations and where a new
intraorganizational politics is visible in the rise of the chief risk officer
(CRO) (Oliver Wyman & Company 2002; Power forthcoming).
The second source of ERM
thinking emerges from the corporate governance revolution of the early 1990s
and from the increasing focus on, and formalization of, internal control as the
bedrock of the ‘good organization’. During the 1990s the idea of good internal
control became explicitly informed
and codified by concepts of risk, shaping a control-based concept of risk
management focused more on organization design and process issues than on risk
measurement. I argue that this source of ERM thinking is characterized by a control-based model of risk
management. Both sources of ERM thinking are fundamental to the project of
‘enforced self-regulation’ (Ayres and Braithwaite 1992) inherent in the Basel 2
proposals for banking regulation and both serve to ‘format’ (Callon 1998) a new
‘moral economy’ of financial organizations.
Taken
together, these two sources of ERM thinking express the win-win rhetoric of the
‘new risk management’ (Power 2000b), in which ideals of maximizing shareholder
value can be reconciled to societal goals for good corporate governance and
orderly capital markets. This ERM model promises a reconciliation of external demands
for legitimate governance with functional demands for the efficient allocation
of scarce capital. In this respect, ERM functions as a ‘boundary object’
spanning different interests and communities of practice.
There
are a number of different definitions of ERM and the purpose of this chapter is
not to police any specific understanding of the meaning and scope of the ERM
concept. Rather, the intention is to examine the ERM model with a view to
understanding its origins and logic. That said, a useful starting point is the
following recent definition of ERM as: ‘a process, effected by an entity’s
board of directors, management and other personnel, applied in strategy setting
and across the enterprise, designed to identify potential events that may
affect the entity, and manage risks to be within its risk appetite, to provide
reasonable assurance regarding the achievement of entity objectives’ (COSO
2003: 3).
From
this strategic point of view, ERM demands the identification of all collective
risks that affect company value as a whole and a key claimed benefit is the
diversification benefits of a comprehensive view of risk, which have been
traditionally managed separately. Functional claims for ERM in financial
organizations relate to improved recognition of natural hedges and
unanticipated correlations across risk categories (Rouyer 2002). In the non-
financial sector, it is argued that ERM led initially to a rationalization of
insurance strategies and the reduction of premium costs via multirisk policies
(e.g. for the case of Honeywell, see Meulbroek 2002b: 58).1
For many
years, lone pioneers and critics of risk-management practice bemoaned its
balkanization, its insurance-based preoccupation with risk as a negative to be
avoided and its bias toward the measurable (Kloman 1976, 1992). Now the
aspiration has changed: risk management is to be regarded as a high-level
practice of strategic significance of the firm embodying assessment and
management techniques which address the whole range of risks facing the entity,
particularly in recognition that some of the most important business risk
effects, for example on reputation, have no ready markets for risk transfer or
diversification and must be managed directly in the name of shareholder value.
This powerful functional
‘storyline’ (Hajer 1995) for the reorganization of uncertainty by ERM has
different strands and elements, and the argument below is organized as follows:
the next section deals with the finance-based conception of ERM and the search
for a measurement basis for economic capital for organizational control
purposes. The second section outlines the other main ERM thematic focused on
organizational design and control systems. The third section explores the idea
of ERM as a ‘world model’ and the fourth section reflects on the ‘moral
economy’ of organizations, as projected by the idea of ERM as a regulatory
system.
The author is grateful for the comments of Karin Knorr Cetina, Aaron Pitluck, and Alex Preda on earlier versions of this chapter. The financial support of the UK Economic and Social Research Council is also gratefully acknowledged.
The author is grateful for the comments of Karin Knorr Cetina, Aaron Pitluck, and Alex Preda on earlier versions of this chapter. The financial support of the UK Economic and Social Research Council is also gratefully acknowledged.
ERM and the Risk-Based Concept of Corporate Control
Integrated
Risk Management involves the identification and assessment of the collective
risks that affect firm value and the implementation of a firm- wide strategy to
manage those risks (Meulbroek 2002a: 56).
In 1998
Chase Manhattan Corporation became concerned that its assets were growing too
fast and that its sales force was not making an appropriate trade off between
risk and reward in developing new business.2 In particular, traders
were not relating their new business to the capital required to support it.
Consequently, the bank decided to introduce the practice of ‘Shareholder
value-added’ (SVA), a technique by which the profit of any business unit within
the bank would be charged for capital, a variant of residual income methods for
divisional control purposes. Thus, the ‘free’ cash flow that supports
shareholder value was reconceptualized as ‘free’ only after charging units for
the portion of risk capital they required the business as a whole to keep in
reserve. The capital base on which such charges were computed was an allocated
portion of the firm level risk, and this was calculated by two principal
methods: VAR and stress testing.
The VAR
has many different definitions and can be operationalized in a number of ways
but the intention is to provide a measure of the potential financial loss from
adverse market movements. According to Jorion (2001a,b), VAR is a simple integrating technology at
the heart of the ERM model. It provides a common financial measurement
framework for the whole firm, which simultaneously provides a calculation of
‘economic capital’, understood both as capital at risk and as a buffer for shocks. As
a quantification of enterprise risk exposure over a period of time subject to a
confidence level, the results of VAR modeling are relatively easily understood
and visualizable for senior management.
First
steps in the public standardization of whole firm VAR can be traced to J. P.
Morgan’s publication of RiskMetrics in 1993 and numerous applied textbooks have
been published since then. However, the importance of the rise of VAR as a
measurement technology for risk management lies as much in the idea as in the
detailed practice. In reality, VAR techniques are heavily dependent on the
availability of high-volume data sets and have developed most rapidly in the
domain of ‘market risk’, that is, a category defined to capture the risk to the
value of portfolios of assets arising from changes in market values. The
techniques have been extended to the field of credit or default risk and are,
at best, problematically and controversially applied in the more ambivalent
category of operational risk.3
Notwithstanding
this variation in specific applications, VAR is significant as an aspiration to
measure capital at risk for the whole firm, across all categories of activity
and to allocate that capital to individual business units. It is a vision in
which capital for regulatory purposes is aligned with organizational control
technologies like the SVA techniques at Chase Manhattan. But the idea of
economic capital is itself far from unproblematic or uncontested. The
accounting concept of share capital plus reserves is a traditional buffer
concept, which is challenged by VAR. From this point of view it can be
plausibly argued that VAR techniques ‘perform’ economic capital (MacKenzie
forthcoming) in the sense that we do not have a clear concept of it, which is
measurement independent. Furthermore, the fiction of VAR- based calculations of
economic capital have real consequences as they are accepted by organizational
agents. Two classes of agents matter in this respect: traders within the
financial organization and regulators.
Getting
traders in financial firms to accept VAR-based or other determinations of
economic capital is the behavioral challenge of ERM. In practice, ERM only
supports capital attribution to business units if these units actually accept
its legitimacy: a fiction can only have real implications if it is accepted as
real. It is clear from an extensive practitioner literature that these
representations of capital at risk, even down to the level of individual
transactions, can be highly adversarial within organizations. Consequently,
normative commentaries continually emphasize the social support for measurement
practices, namely the role of senior management buy-in, cultural commitment,
and the need for champions of change (e.g. Cumming and Hirtle 2001; Sullivan
2001; Nash, Nakada, and Johnston 2002). VAR-based calculations of economic
capital and related Risk Adjusted Return on Capital (RAROC) measures are
institutional myths, in the sense that they are only effective if widely believed.
Getting
regulators to accept ERM and VAR has also been an important dimension of its
institutionalization. There has been increasing conceptual convergence between
regulatory management of economic capital and internal business models. Banks
have been permitted to use their own in-house models for determining a capital
cushion for market risks since 1996, and this process is being extended to a
new category of diverse and difficult to measure ‘operational risks’. Although
banking supervisors still constrain the use of in-house models, the changes in
regulatory philosophy have been significant. The Basel Committee leading the
reform of banking supervision (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision 2003a) is
a key resource for conceptualizing ERM in financial markets and has published
surveys of ‘risk aggregation’ practices, which realize the theoretical idea of
ERM (see Basel Committee on Banking Supervision 2003b).
Despite
specific technical difficulties of relating detailed risk-management
investments to firm value, particularly in fuzzy areas like operational risk,
the relation became newly thinkable in terms of VAR during the 1990s, and
provided a new language for the business case for risk management. Accordingly,
to Doherty (2000: 9-10), the fundamental theory of finance, in which returns on
assets are always relative to risk, has made risk management a conceptually
thinkable part of the corporate value creation process since the 1960s.
However, though thinkable, that model had to wait until the early 1990s for
diversification measurement technologies like VAR to become fully
institutionalized as a calculation of risk capital.
The rise
of this measurement strand of ERM is a further episode in institutionalization
of the shareholder conception of the firm, driven in turn by the demands of
financial markets that firms should manage their stock price. In the case of
financial firms investing in other firms, the management of their own stock
price is a function of how well they manage the impact of volatility in the
stock prices of their investments, placing market risk management at the center
of their own shareholder value strategies. ERM emerges from this double
attentiveness to financial markets by financial institutions, first in terms
of managing their own stock price and, second, doing this to a large extent by
managing the effects of market movements on their portfolios of assets. This is
slightly different from the two finance conceptions of control outlined by Zorn
et al. (Chapter 13, this volume), focused more on the returns or earnings
component of risk-return foundations of shareholder value. ERM represents a risk-based concept of
control
focused on the risk quality of earnings. As we shall see below, this concept of
control is regulatory as well as managerial.
Zorn et
al. (Chapter 13, this volume) argue that changes in the concept of control in
organizations were a function of power struggles in organizations between
management functions intent on claiming efficacy. In this respect, the most
likely site of struggle in financial institutions is the challenge to the chief
financial officer (CFO) by the rise of the CROs. The CRO is the organizational
embodiment of ERM and the risk-based concept of control; the CRO reflects the
repositioning of risk management in the management hierarchy (Lam 2000).
Surveys (e.g. Conference Board of Canada 2001; Oliver Wyman & Company 2002)
suggest a marked growth in the CRO role since the mid-1990s. In the case of
Chase Manhattan discussed above, a risk policy committee of the main board is
the organizational correlate of VAR and many organizations have similar
committees headed by a new CRO role. In some cases, the CRO is subordinate to
the CFO and in others they have equal and different status, one a facilitator
of deals, the other a risk check on them. But while the general picture is
presently unclear and demands further empirical research of the kind that Zorn
and Dobbin have conducted for CFOs, the emergence of the CRO will further
institutionalize the risk-based concept of control (Power forthcoming).
Where
did the risk-based concept of control come from?
To a large extent it had always been inherent or dormant in financial organizations, but there are several overlapping drivers in the 1990s. Its increasing significance is in part a rational response to volatility in financial markets and the need to manage asset growth more carefully in large financial institutions, such as we saw with Chase Manhattan.
Second, it became institutionalized because of the organizational legitimacy and availability of a measurement technology, namely VAR, which promised a unifying, whole firm entity approach aligned with the whole firm philosophy of shareholder value.
Third, it promised a new basis of divisional control of disparate units in financial organizations by determining risk-adjusted rates of return on capital for these units.
Fourth, it provided financial organizations with a rational basis for contesting imposed regulatory capital requirements, resulting eventually in the regulatory recognition of in-house models for determining economic capital.
Fifth, the technological domain of financial risk management was expanded by the increasing liquidity of markets for a broader set of financial instruments, extending the boundaries for risk transfer and management in fuzzy areas, such as ‘weather bonds’ (Meulbroek 2001).
To a large extent it had always been inherent or dormant in financial organizations, but there are several overlapping drivers in the 1990s. Its increasing significance is in part a rational response to volatility in financial markets and the need to manage asset growth more carefully in large financial institutions, such as we saw with Chase Manhattan.
Second, it became institutionalized because of the organizational legitimacy and availability of a measurement technology, namely VAR, which promised a unifying, whole firm entity approach aligned with the whole firm philosophy of shareholder value.
Third, it promised a new basis of divisional control of disparate units in financial organizations by determining risk-adjusted rates of return on capital for these units.
Fourth, it provided financial organizations with a rational basis for contesting imposed regulatory capital requirements, resulting eventually in the regulatory recognition of in-house models for determining economic capital.
Fifth, the technological domain of financial risk management was expanded by the increasing liquidity of markets for a broader set of financial instruments, extending the boundaries for risk transfer and management in fuzzy areas, such as ‘weather bonds’ (Meulbroek 2001).
To summarize:
an important strand of ERM thinking has its origins in the project to improve control in large financial organizations. This project is epitomized by the idea and practice of VAR models which construct a concept of economic capital for two key audiences, internal traders and regulators. ERM provides a representation of economic capital supporting the interventions of senior management in the operations of divisionalized financial firms. But the idea of ERM is more than that of a measurement technology. It also projects a risk-based concept of corporate control, embodied in risk committees and in the work of CROs. In other words, ERM is not simply measurement focused; it is also about the management and control of risk-measurement practices and it is to this important strand of the ERM idea that we now turn.
an important strand of ERM thinking has its origins in the project to improve control in large financial organizations. This project is epitomized by the idea and practice of VAR models which construct a concept of economic capital for two key audiences, internal traders and regulators. ERM provides a representation of economic capital supporting the interventions of senior management in the operations of divisionalized financial firms. But the idea of ERM is more than that of a measurement technology. It also projects a risk-based concept of corporate control, embodied in risk committees and in the work of CROs. In other words, ERM is not simply measurement focused; it is also about the management and control of risk-measurement practices and it is to this important strand of the ERM idea that we now turn.
ERM and the Control-Based Concept of Risk Management
The
second major strand of ERM is more generic in form and is visible in various
attempts to codify the elements of a risk-management system. Building on the projects to
codify quality management, a number of standards have been produced by
standard setting organizations, beginning in 1995 with a joint document by the
Australian and New Zealand Standards organizations (AS/NZS 1995), followed by
counterparts in Canada (CSA 1997), United Kingdom (BSI 1999), and Japan (JIS
2001).4 This generic risk-management thinking has been criticized,
especially by those who do not see the utility of such general standards over
and above specific risk- management practice, and this may explain why there
is, at present, no ISO standard as such for the risk-management process,
although a standard has been developed for a common risk-management terminology
(ISO/IEC 2002).
Another
related source of thinking for ERM has emerged explicitly from the codification
of principles of internal control. Following a congressional investigation by
the Treadway Commission in 1987 into fraudulent financial reporting, an
internal control framework was developed (COSO 1991). This proposed a broad
definition of an internal control process covering financial reporting, legal
compliance and operations. Furthermore, the principles began to make explicit
the connection between internal control and organizational risk management in
its broadest sense: control processes must be designed on the basis of risk
assessment and risk appetite, and their functioning must be reviewed. In the
case of Chase Manhattan discussed above, the COSO framework was customized for
use in the management of operational risk. Crucially, this rearticulation of
internal control relates risks and controls explicitly to organizational
objectives, and is part of a more general trend in the ‘strategizing’ of
control functions.
The COSO
in the United States, and the ‘CoCo’ framework developed by the Canadian
Institute of Certified Accountants, have greatly influenced subsequent attempts
to develop generic standards in the control/risk management area, not least for
the Turnbull Report in the United Kingdom (ICAEW 1999) and the risk-management
dimensions of the Control and Transparency Act (KonTrAG) in Germany, the latter
passed in response to demands to strengthen the role of supervisory boards and
requiring them to establish a monitoring system for risk identification.5
In the case of COSO, a standing coalition of professional associations (The
American Institute of Certified Public Accountants, the Institute of Internal
Auditors, Financial Executives International, the Institute of Management
Accountants, and the American Accounting Association) provides oversight for
specific technical projects and the internal control framework has been
republished as a draft framework for ERM (COSO 2003), which echoes and subsumes
the earlier conceptual framework (COSO 2003: 18). This means that ERM is to be
a standard for the design of internal control systems.
This
strand of ERM represents a control-based concept of risk management and its key elements are
clearly visible in the definition given earlier: risk management is related in
ambition to entity objectives, to the production of value and thereby to
organizational strategy; it is defined as a process requiring senior management
direction and extending across the whole organization; it heralds a new
organizational consciousness of ‘risk appetite’, and assurance. The document
also represents a clear discourse of responsibilization: people must know their
responsibilities and the limits of their authority. This linking of duties to
entity objectives expresses a new ‘moral order’ to be discussed further below,
as well as a strategizing aspiration for advisory markets. The auditing,
control, and assurance conceptual heritage remains visible in the requirement
to provide assurance that, inter alia, reporting and legal compliance
objectives are achieved.
The COSO-based model of the
ERM model is based on earlier PricewaterhouseCoopers architecture (e.g.
PwC/IFAC 1998) and absorbs older internal control concepts. The internal
environment of control is reconceptualized as a risk culture, a set of shared
attitudes, values, and practices that characterizes how an entity considers
risk in its day to day activities. COSO (2003) codifies the elements or stages
of ERM understood in this context as a management process or system rather
than a measurement practice. The ideal elements of this process are repeatedly
visible in all the management process approaches to ERM and consist of:
Event
identification. 事項辨認---企業須辨認會影響目標能否達成之內部事項及外部事項,這些事項可區分風險與機會二類,管理階層應把機會導回設定策略或目標之流程中。
This reflects the intensified climate of concern during the 1990s for risk events which are not to be easily captured and understood by conventional information systems for example, rogue traders, reputational risks. Accordingly, the completeness of material risk identification, if not its precise measurement, has grown in significance as a management priority.
This reflects the intensified climate of concern during the 1990s for risk events which are not to be easily captured and understood by conventional information systems for example, rogue traders, reputational risks. Accordingly, the completeness of material risk identification, if not its precise measurement, has grown in significance as a management priority.
Risk assessment. 風險評估---企業分析風險、考量其發生之可能性及影響,並藉以決定風險應如何加以管理。風險之評估應基於固有風險及剩餘(residual)風險。
This continues the quantitative tradition of risk analysis, including VAR, but is more pluralistic and includes qualitative techniques, such as focus groups, because of the importance of risk identification.
Risk response.風險因應---管理階層選擇風險因應(規避、承受、抑減及分擔)之方式,並進行一連串行動使風險能與企業之風險容忍度(risk tolerance)及風險偏好(risk appetite)相配合。
This is the set of managerial action possibilities in terms of risk avoidance, reduction, sharing, and acceptance. Specific choices will reflect the risk appetite of organizations.
Control activities. 控制活動---所訂定用來協助保證風險因應能有效執行之政策與程序。
These are designed in the light of risk responses and reposition longstanding control activities, such as segregation of duties, arithmetic and accuracy checks, and authority controls within the ERM process.
Information and communication flows. 資訊與溝通---攸關之資訊在一定的形式和期限內,予以辨認、蒐集並溝通,以確保相關人員能夠履行其職責。有效溝通之觀念比較廣泛,包括企業由上而下,由下而上,以及相互之間橫向的溝通。
These are regarded as an essential feature of ERM, must be appropriate to the expectations of groups and individuals and must address the problem of cross-functional lateral communication.
Monitoring. 監控---對企業風險管理進行全面監控,必要時加以修正。監控可以藉由持續的管理活動、個別評價或者兩者結合來完成。
As with COSO (1991) the ERM structure requires the ability to observe itself via periodic evaluation, by the internal and external audit functions and/or by the CRO.
This
ideal ERM blueprint also acknowledges the limitations of control systems
(collusion, ability to override) and emphasizes the roles and responsibilities
of the various organizational agents who must realize ERM: the board, executive
management who set the tone of an organization, the CFOs, CROs, and internal
auditors. Possible conflicts and competition among these different agents are
subordinated to the programmatic idea that ERM is the responsibility of all of
them collectively.
From
this generic point of view, ERM represents risk management as an organizational process. As in the case of
financial institutions, there is a claim that risk-based control activities are
value enhancing, but without the emphasis on a measurement technology such as
VAR. Great emphasis is placed on senior management and the top-down ownership
of the risk-control process. This emphasis grew out of the wave of corporate
governance initiatives in the 1990s. Largely scandal driven, corporate
governance thinking in different countries increasingly emphasizes internal
organizational structures and processes. Boards of executive and nonexecutive
directors, audit committees, internal and external auditors have all been
subject to greater formalization of their roles, largely by voluntary codes of
conduct but more recently in statutory form, with the Sarbanes-Oxley
legislation in the United States. At the very center of these governance
preoccupations is the nature of the internal control system and its
management, which over time has been increasingly articulated in terms of risk
(Power 2000a). For this strand of ERM internal control, risk management, and
‘good’ governance are almost coextensive.
There
are of course differences and variations among the ERM standards mentioned
above. Those emerging from national and international standard-setting
organizations tend to have a strong project management flavor and there are
important differences between the COSO and CoCo frameworks. But for the
purposes of the present argument the similarities are more striking and
significant.6
First, risk is defined broadly in terms of both opportunity and harm, an essential strategy for reconceptualizing the value enhancing dimension of control activities and consistent with finance conceptions of risk as variance.
Second, great emphasis is placed on risk communication rather than on specific measurement techniques, which may be diverse. In particular, communication with a wide range of stakeholders is countenanced, signaling greater sensitivity to the variations in risk perceptions of groups external to the enterprise. This is a critical extension of the risk-management field of vision and will be discussed further below.
Third, ERM is part of a responsibility allocation process, which establishes risk accountability and authority; here the parallels with quality ownership are evident.
Fourth, the system and process approach emphasizes documentation and auditability (Power 1999).
First, risk is defined broadly in terms of both opportunity and harm, an essential strategy for reconceptualizing the value enhancing dimension of control activities and consistent with finance conceptions of risk as variance.
Second, great emphasis is placed on risk communication rather than on specific measurement techniques, which may be diverse. In particular, communication with a wide range of stakeholders is countenanced, signaling greater sensitivity to the variations in risk perceptions of groups external to the enterprise. This is a critical extension of the risk-management field of vision and will be discussed further below.
Third, ERM is part of a responsibility allocation process, which establishes risk accountability and authority; here the parallels with quality ownership are evident.
Fourth, the system and process approach emphasizes documentation and auditability (Power 1999).
To
summarize: COSO (2003) and other similar risk-management standards exemplify a
generic control-based tradition of ERM thinking which is different in emphasis
from that which has emerged from the financial risk-management practices of
financial institutions. It is process- rather than measurement-based, and grows
out of the varied discourses of corporate governance reform in the 1990s and
their preoccupation with internal controls. This tradition is less concerned
with internal management problems of divisional control and more with the
integrity of senior management process. And although the control-based concept
of risk management is also very much shareholder value focused, there is also
another emphasis on stakeholder communication which places ERM in a
potentially larger normative framework. With this in mind, we need to take a
more critical look at ERM.
ERM as World Culture?
ERM
should not be presumed to be a self-evident and coherent set of ideas and
blueprints for practice. It has been argued above that ERM ideas have emerged
from two main conceptual frames for measuring economic capital and for
organizational control processes, respectively. From this point of view, ERM is
a reassembly of ideas, old knowledge perhaps (Deragon 2000), which has been
subject to various attempts at codification. Although ideas about ERM clearly
predate the development of standards and textbooks on the subject (e.g. Kloman
1976, 1992; Haines 1992), something distinctive takes place from about 1995
onward. Standardization projects for ERM are to be found at many levels,
ranging from obvious standards issued by standard setting institutions to
textbooks and commentaries. Even certain individuals can acquire the status of
de facto codifier (e.g. Lam 2003).
Although
the different elements of ERM thinking and conceptualization suggest a tension
between a first-order emphasis on rational risk measurement and a second-order
emphasis on the management of that risk measurement process, it can be
suggested following Meyer et al. (1997) that ERM has all the apparent hallmarks
of an emerging world cultural model. To unpack this argument, we can begin by
considering practitioner surveys of ERM practice. Such surveys should not
necessarily be taken at face value in terms of their analysis of degrees of
implementation: they also constitute and perform the interorganizational world
of ERM. Tillinghast Towers Perrin (2001,
2001) provides an example of an
insurance industry survey, which not only describes practice, but also promotes
the emergent discipline of ERM on the basis of its partial realization. Surveys
like this typically conclude that industry is making progress (ninety-four
companies, 49% of the sample, claim to have ERM and 38% are considering it,
with the CRO role on the rise).
In terms
of the operational reality of ERM, this survey suggests the continuing
existence of barriers to a broad risk vision within insurance companies, with
a strong cultural bias to existing ways of working. For example, ‘overall the
positive correlation between which risks are covered by ERM and satisfaction
with the tools to manage those risks... suggests that risks may be included in
an ERM program based on their ease of quantification more than their degree of
importance’ (Tillinghast Towers Perrin 2003: 6-7). With the exception of
Canadian insurers, the general picture is one of a robust actuarial culture
defining ERM to suit its own terms. This suggests that the concrete realization
of the ideal elements of ERM is partial and subject to microcultural forms of
resistance, such as intraorganizational turf wars and, in particular, the
tension between the measurement and management facets of ERM identified above.
This
decoupling between ERM claims and reality may be bemoaned at the level of
practitioner surveys like this, but is not surprising. It should not blind us
to the properties of ERM as an organizationally transcendent model with claims
to universal applicability and with developed claims to functionality rooted in
the shareholder value model. According to Meyer et al. (1997: 156), ‘these
models are organized as cultural principles and visions not strongly anchored
in local circumstance’. The unreality of ERM principles, as embodied in the
various codifications and texts described above, is also their strength as
myths of control which serve to organize organizations.
To
follow the thought experiment posited by Meyer et al. (1997), if we were to
imagine the creation of a new banking organization, we know that it could not
be founded without rapidly adopting the mission and principles of ERM, and
would very quickly appoint a CRO and a whole host of other elements comprising
the legitimated organizational actorhood of being a bank. In the 1980s and
1990s, the ideas of audit and of ‘new public management’ emerged as cultural
models which could be made to look self-evidently functional and whose
legitimacy was relatively immune to microcultural problems of implementation.
From this point of view, ERM is the latest in a long line of world level (i.e.
non-nation state level), organizational blueprints for the organization of
uncertainty, and a new product in the market for advice which is increasingly
legitimate via its codification in standards.
On this
view, ERM is a product of ‘world cultural forces’, specifically organizations
who can claim legitimacy as actors in the creation of collective goods and
broad meaning systems (Meyer et al. 1997). We have already met these actors
above: Chase Manhattan, J. P. Morgan, and other large banks; COSO and
PricewaterhouseCoopers; national and international standards organizations;
the Basel Committee on Banking Regulation; legitimized human actors, such as
academics and practitioner commentators. It is important to note that not all
so-called ‘global’ corporations are world actors in this sense; many do not
actively participate in the creation of collective meaning systems, although as
their operations are written up and disseminated as case studies by business
academics and consultants, they may unintentionally come to play this role.
In
picking our way through these actors, we can distinguish the two main sources
of ERM thinking again.
First, the risk-based concept of control derives from the position of financial economics as an increasingly powerful world cultural force, in general terms as a model of the firm (Whitley 1986) but also with a specific mandate to increase its scope via the financialization of all elements of risk management.
Second, the control-based concept of risk management is built in part upon the older audit model, supplemented by a range of ideas to do with systems and communication. This suggests that ERM can be usefully imagined as a ‘boundary object’ at the world level which inhabits ‘several communities of practice and satisf[ies] the informational requirements of each of them. Boundary objects are both plastic enough to adapt to local needs and constraints, yet robust enough to maintain a common identity across sites’ (Bowker and Star 1999: 297).
First, the risk-based concept of control derives from the position of financial economics as an increasingly powerful world cultural force, in general terms as a model of the firm (Whitley 1986) but also with a specific mandate to increase its scope via the financialization of all elements of risk management.
Second, the control-based concept of risk management is built in part upon the older audit model, supplemented by a range of ideas to do with systems and communication. This suggests that ERM can be usefully imagined as a ‘boundary object’ at the world level which inhabits ‘several communities of practice and satisf[ies] the informational requirements of each of them. Boundary objects are both plastic enough to adapt to local needs and constraints, yet robust enough to maintain a common identity across sites’ (Bowker and Star 1999: 297).
To summarize: ERM can be
understood as a world level boundary object which has emerged from a private
market for risk-management norms and related discourses. A long-standing
dissatisfaction with the insurance-based concept risk management (Kloman 1992;
Dickinson 2001) was redeveloped in relation to a powerfully legitimate
measurement technology on the one hand, namely VAR, and to a range of
established ideas about management systems and processes on the other. ERM did
not emerge from legislative or regulatory processes, although it has informed
them as we shall see. However, whether ERM is a ‘true’ world model remains an
open question. Some critics argue that continuing organizational barriers to
the full implementation of ERM will diminish its legitimacy over time, reducing
it to the status of mere fad (Banham 1999; Deragon 2000). These difficulties
may feed back and be registered at the world level, namely the global
conference circuit, the practice survey, consulting templates, handbooks of
best practice, and world level standard setting bodies. Against this, we should
expect at least some durability to the idea, irrespective of apparent specific
failures. And part of that durability has little to do with the mechanics of
risk management; it has more to do with ERM as a value system which appeals
across different groups. As a boundary object, the ERM model importantly blurs
the distinction between projects of risk measurement, organization, and
regulation (Morgan and Engwall 1999), and posits a new normative order. It is
to this that we now turn.
ERM and the Moral
Economy of Financial Organizations
The
above discussion has focused on ERM as a model of organizational control. In
this section, we consider its properties as a model of regulation or, more
accurately, ‘enforced self-regulation’ (Ayres and Braithwaite 1992). First, ERM
is a blueprint for regulatory regimes themselves and for financial regulators
seeking to manage their own operating and political risk. Thus, elements of ERM
are to be found in the policy thinking of the United Kingdom Financial Services
Authority (2000) and elsewhere. Here, the legitimacy of ERM as a world model is
evident as regulatory organizations are subject to isomorphic pressures to
become, at least at the level of mission and purpose, more like the
organizations they regulate. Notwithstanding the evident empirical operating
variety of regulatory regimes (Hood, Rothstein, and Baldwin 2000), ERM is an
increasingly legitimate template for such regimes, specifically what is now
called the risk-based model of regulation. From this point of view states and
state agencies are adopters of world cultural elements like ERM. ERM ideas have
an important position in the KonTrAG in Germany and in the recent Sarbanes-Oxley
Act in the United States. And organizations like the World Bank have also begun
to adopt ERM to structure their own working processes.
Second, the emergence of
ERM makes a certain regulatory style possible, one that increasingly relies on
the self-organizing resources of banking organizations
and which monitors the quality of local risk-management systems. From this
point of view, the ‘auditability’ and responsibility elements of ERM are
critical in enabling regulatory oversight of essentially private processes, and
the technology of VAR provides a common technical language of exchange between
banks and regulators. Regulatory pressures have grown for ERM models to be
introduced in financial institutions, such as the Office of the Superintendent
of Financial Institutions (Canada), the Prudential Regulation Authority in
Australia (where the HIH Insurance scandal has had a huge impact). More
generally, the Basel 2 proposals also embody ERM ideas; pillar one corresponds
to the risk-measurement ambition and pillar 2 corresponds to the control and
communication emphasis (Basel Committee on Banking Supervision 2003a). From
this point of view, world level norms are being relegalized at the level of
regulatory policy. Indeed, Australia Standards acknowledges that failure to
establish and maintain a proper risk-management program may be evidence that
an organization is negligent.7 In short, we can expect that national
legal systems will reinforce the legitimacy of the ERM model.
In order
for ERM models to fulfill this regulatory vision, they need to promote a new
internal moral community in financial institutions. Ideals of integration and
related internal responsibilities for risk envisage the construction of a
normative operating climate in which risk is defined and, crucially, allocated
to organizational agents. Historically, risk management in diverse areas, such
as health and safety, internal control, insurance were decoupled from corporate
policy and objectives (a matter for critical commentary by farsighted individuals)
and managed on a fragmented basis. The ERM model recasts risk management
explicitly in terms of organizational objectives, transforming risk management
from a specialist control side-show to a (shareholder) value enhancing
activity. This programmatic ‘strategizing’ of risk management, raising the
profile of long-standing elements (e.g. control and risk assessment
techniques), and repositioning them in the fabric of management knowledge,
simultaneously represents a new ‘moral economy’ of the organization. This moral
economy is governed by newly powerful actors, namely risk and audit committees
and risk officers concerned with new objects, such as corporate reputation
(Power 2003).
The
sense of ‘moral economy’ should not be taken normatively to mean that
organizations become ‘moral’ in some first-order sense. The intention of the
concept is to highlight the normative structure of the ERM model, in particular
the internal responsibility structures that banks like Chase Manhattan
established in relation to risk management. However, there is also a larger
sense in which ERM can be said to constitute a new moral economy, namely in the
expanded role of risk management in processing social and environmental issues
at the level of the organization. In short, historically visible anxieties and
pressures for the democratization of risk analysis (e.g. Jasanoff 1999) are
reworked and reframed by ERM as issues in the design of internal control and
management systems, precisely the ‘remanagerialization of risk’ envisaged by
Beck (1992).
The ERM
world model translates potential public policy issues into matters of
organizational process (rather than scientific expertise) at the enterprise
level. Thus, the social and environmental externalities of financial and other
organizations are reworked and internalized as matters of ‘reputational risk
management’ (Power 2003). Reputation management as a component of ERM is
arguably the organizational privatization of public policy. In particular,
regulatory organizations begin to manage their own reputational and political
risk in priority to their direct systemic obligations. For example, in the case
of the World Bank, ERM functions to manage the risk to the Bank of not
fulfilling its mission, rather than the risk to developing countries directly.
The latter is reframed and internalized by ERM relative to the entity that is
the World Bank organization. How this risk translation process might impact on
the continuing legitimacy of the ERM model is an open question.
Another
dimension of the moral economy of ERM is its role in providing the actors of
corporate governance, namely boards, audit committees, internal and external
auditors, a mediating semi-technical language through which to evaluate and
monitor organizational process without becoming embroiled in technical risk
analysis. Even VAR has the attraction of being relatively easily understood.
This enfranchisement of nonexperts, with monitoring capacity within
organizations is a critical feature of ERM as a template for good governance
and appears to address the ‘rogue’ expert problem. Thus the ERM model
restructures organizational handling of uncertainty with a greater accent on
risk communication and dialog about a broader range of risk objects. Compared
to older conceptions of financial risk analysis, ERM is much more democratic,
at least at the organizational level.
To summarize: the ERM model
repositions risk management within a new internal moral economy of the
enterprise. This moral economy can be characterized in terms of heightened
internal responsibilities for risk and its management, much in the manner of
‘quality ownership’, but it also has an external dimension in so far as ERM
explicitly processes wider social, economic, and environmental problems at the
enterprise level. This still leaves us with a puzzle about the moral economy of
ERM which is both more open and responsive to these external issues than
previous risk-management thinking, but which is also closed in so far as the
operating premise is the rather old fashioned, pre-network idea of the discrete
firm entity.
Conclusions: ERM and
the Organization of Uncertainty
Organizations
have always been centrally, even definitionally, concerned with the management
of uncertainty and the coordination of resources to create forms of order for
identifying risk and making decisions (March and
Simon
1958). ERM can be regarded as yet another in a long line of programmatic
technologies for rethinking the relationship between management, as the
production of order, and uncertainty. Ideas about integrated, holistic, and
enterprise-based risk management have existed for many years, in part as a
discourse of dissatisfaction with narrow insurance based views of the subject.
Since 1995, these ideas have found an institutional voice in the form of
specific standards and guidelines on generic risk management, in supporting
texts and commentaries, and in an increasing regulatory emphasis on
organizational risk management. ERM in this sense has been transformed from the
preoccupation of a small number of critical observers and pioneers, into
something programmatic and operationally significant. As a potential world
model, ERM has acquired the quality of a self-evident set of principles: the
fundamental arguments are very well-rehearsed and, at the conceptual level,
reasonably well accepted.
This
chapter has argued that the ERM model has two convergent strands or currents,
the risk-based
model of the firm and the control-based model of risk management. Both these strands can be
understood as the responses of discrete functional activities, risk-measurement
and internal control, respectively, to the shareholder value imperative. To
this end, ERM reorganizes and coordinates existing risk-management
subdisciplines, a program for debalkanization (Kloman 1992), to create rational
relations between risk management, control activities, organizational
objectives, and strategy. These claims for functionality are fictional and
unrealized to a large degree, but the ERM model as realized and legitimized in
standards, texts, and now regulations makes it a thinkable imperative. If ERM
is an illusion of control, it is also somehow one of a number of necessary
illusions which constitute management practice. And as the rational
reorganization of uncertainty, ERM is an ‘organizational fix’ in the same sense
in which scholars of science and technology studies have used the concept of
‘technological fix’.
This
chapter has been concerned primarily with the emerging logic of ERM, its
formalization in standards, and its status as a world level model of good
governance. It has not been concerned with empirical questions of adoption and
implementation, although a few things can be sensibly anticipated about what
such studies will show, based on work in other areas. First, there can be no
doubt that any implementation of ERM systems will be laden with organizational
politics and negotiation, that objectives which should shape risk-management
activity will become shaped by it, that traders will resist arbitrary capital
charges and so on. So the official sequencing of ERM processes as represented
in standards should not be assumed, and we can expect internal competition
between various organizational actors, not least between the CFO and the CRO.
Second, we should expect that ERM standards will become implicated in the
legalization and proceduralization of organizations (Sitkin and Bies 1994),
notwithstanding the enabling, innovatory language by which ERM is promoted. As
regulatory systems depend increasingly on ERM at the organizational level, this
tendency is likely to be observed as ERM and good organizational governance
become increasingly codefined. Third, we should expect to see an active
advisory market for ERM and its customized variants, a market in which consultants
seek to articulate proprietorial versions of generic principles. From this
point of view, standards and surveys exist in part to scare organizations into
reform processes.
ERM has emerged, via
standards and other texts, as an institutionalized basis for the
self-observation of financial organizations based on the dual technologies of
VAR and internal control. This second-order observation of operations is
visible in the stated mission of the CRO role, an actor who is charged in part
with providing a new basis for the self-description of management. However,
languages of organizational self-description, such as ERM, may change precisely
because there is no enduring rational way to deal with the management of
enterprise (Simon 2003) and it remains an empirical question ultimately as to
whether or not the ERM model leads organizations to change their substantive
rules of internal communication.
1. The case of BP in 1992 is
also similar, informed by an academic study by Neil Doherty and Clifford Smith.
See Risk
Management Reports, December 1999, 4-5.
2. This case is based on
Barton, Shenkir, and Walker (2001, ch. 3).
3. The categories of market,
credit, and operational risk have emerged as legitimate classifications in the
organizational field. Financial institutions structure their risk management
activities in terms of these categories. However, they are far from being
diagnostically useful; real risk events usually straddle these categories and
their departmental embodiments.
4. It is interesting to note
that in Germany the Deutsches Institut fur Normierung (DIN) notably does not have
such a generic document, part of a general German tendency to focus on product
and service specific standards, rather than broad management templates.
5. This chapter does not deal
with the regulation of risk reporting. It is important to note that the German
Accounting Standards Board has issued an accounting standard on risk reporting.
6. Many standards are also
supported by more specific guidance and amplification. See, for example,
booklets 141, 142, and 143 published by Australia Standards.
7. See Risk Management Reports, January 2000: 5.
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